Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 10.477614 11.714228 13.050421 14.603463 16.361378 18.292266 20.577636
2025-05-18 8.250458 9.887297 11.794593 14.189432 17.127622 20.629442 25.140968
2025-05-25 6.832009 8.652664 10.906343 13.919123 17.868329 22.905810 29.877250
2025-06-01 5.876051 7.789753 10.280586 13.790282 18.656422 25.235480 34.923596
2025-06-08 5.185524 7.147842 9.814373 13.746724 19.472716 27.621713 40.304093
2025-06-15 4.785756 6.832908 9.725289 14.171636 20.944414 31.052403 47.619382
2025-06-22 4.315399 6.351526 9.327261 14.070831 21.588470 33.290952 53.380109
2025-06-29 3.869052 5.850159 8.833883 13.747241 21.816933 34.867934 58.240305
2025-07-06 3.523383 5.461933 8.464128 13.559976 22.214334 36.724681 63.777158
2025-07-13 3.355068 5.331641 8.479124 13.986528 23.661267 40.487153 73.174181
2025-07-20 3.205892 5.214894 8.499148 14.414056 25.144956 44.474690 83.549089
2025-07-27 3.015154 5.009486 8.348501 14.522544 26.059834 47.526754 92.555004
2025-08-03 2.768303 4.692637 7.988445 14.237989 26.252882 49.319075 99.470983
2025-08-10 2.555723 4.417412 7.677033 14.011703 26.534173 51.327608 107.189330
2025-08-17 2.369339 4.172210 7.396318 13.811999 26.840940 53.422160 115.435421
2025-08-24 2.215384 3.972172 7.179117 13.709739 27.327022 55.941199 125.043091
2025-08-31 2.085237 3.804758 7.006919 13.676219 27.946780 58.817296 135.959677
2025-09-07 2.022015 3.758027 7.059760 14.102613 29.593298 64.161690 153.785052
2025-09-14 1.903919 3.595139 6.870716 14.003820 30.073489 66.922174 165.602628
2025-09-21 1.772496 3.395435 6.591078 13.682467 30.011989 68.402901 174.334285
2025-09-28 1.666524 3.238161 6.383837 13.496377 30.236658 70.590203 185.343000
2025-10-05 1.627573 3.213939 6.448718 13.920816 31.953445 76.691671 208.427589
2025-10-12 1.590289 3.189967 6.511531 14.346173 33.724368 83.185107 233.954143